Specific theory of change:

Phase 1: Create policy supply (Months 1-6)

Phase 2: Policy distribution (Months 3-12)

Phase 3: Movement building (Months 6-18)

Why this works:

  1. Speed: Weekend events can be launched globally in months, not years
  2. Proven model: I've done this before with Policython.org - our research was adopted by Opportunity Insights and influenced $20B+ in COVID policy
  3. Fills a gap: Treaty campaigns need specific, implementable policy proposals. Right now there's ~10 organizations doing advocacy but insufficient policy R&D capacity
  4. Scalable: Student organizers can host independently after initial support, like how I helped launch policythons in Toronto and Philippines
  5. Network effects: Creates a global community of policy-engaged AI safety people who continue working on this after the events

Concrete next steps: